Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.524129 0.613093 0.710322 0.824175 0.953528 1.095601 1.263128
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.396629 0.518135 0.663586 0.849182 1.078218 1.350019 1.695236
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.307291 0.441990 0.616345 0.855427 1.171118 1.569689 2.106289
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.234849 0.368928 0.555181 0.827374 1.208497 1.715720 2.432743
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.199063 0.337370 0.541384 0.855818 1.317798 1.959380 2.902304
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.169868 0.308908 0.525630 0.876093 1.413560 2.188438 3.366416
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.153561 0.297167 0.532048 0.927923 1.557561 2.494328 3.959044
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.129783 0.268048 0.505767 0.923755 1.613503 2.672504 4.375191
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.109053 0.240171 0.476855 0.910349 1.651212 2.822925 4.756597
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.092754 0.217337 0.452945 0.901402 1.693329 2.980605 5.156400
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.082590 0.204687 0.445436 0.919578 1.781237 3.215647 5.690718
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.073387 0.192229 0.436318 0.933160 1.861244 3.441641 6.222332
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.064189 0.178278 0.422847 0.937996 1.927854 3.652848 6.748560
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.057088 0.167770 0.414935 0.952664 2.013618 3.902653 7.355259
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049934 0.155586 0.401616 0.954732 2.075479 4.114236 7.908687
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041418 0.137881 0.373304 0.922165 2.067237 4.199456 8.246512
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038110 0.133490 0.374733 0.952770 2.185293 4.520444 9.017313
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034659 0.127902 0.372450 0.974782 2.287402 4.817470 9.759971
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033344 0.128393 0.385102 1.031528 2.464921 5.265735 10.799375
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.029213 0.119144 0.371779 1.026926 2.513365 5.470353 11.399613
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.025211 0.109222 0.355073 1.012219 2.538521 5.630539 11.923890
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021944 0.100862 0.341157 1.002405 2.572919 5.809820 12.491585
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020081 0.097047 0.339321 1.022330 2.674713 6.128902 13.341875